Introducing WeatherNext 3, our most advanced and accurate global weather AI model
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Introducing WeatherNext 3, our most advanced and accurate global weather AI model Every day, the weather influences billions of decisions. Some are as simple as grabbing an umbrella before heading out the door, but others are far more consequential. Wind, rain, and extreme weather events, like heatwaves and droughts, have cascading impacts across agriculture, global supply chains, clean energy production, and national economies. In recent years, AI has revolutionized weather forecasting, using historical records to make faster and more accurate predictions than traditional methods. Yet predicting highly local and rapidly changing weather has remained a challenge. Previous models often lacked sufficient spatial resolution, and struggled to incorporate real-time weather data from sources like satellites. Today, Google DeepMind and Google Research are introducing WeatherNext 3, the most advanced and accurate global weather model to date, according to independent live evaluations by Brightband. Our model learns directly from real-time observations, enabling it to provide timely and more localized predictions for the weather events that impact people the most. By using raw satellite data to produce a forecast every hour in high resolution, our model makes reliable forecasts accessible across Google products worldwide. Rapid weather prediction at unprecedented resolution A forecast's utility often comes down to detail and how finely it resolves both time and space. WeatherNext 3 generates hourly forecasts at multiple spatial resolutions, maintaining physical consistency from broad global wind patterns all the way down to local topography. With WeatherNext 3, we can visualize key surface variables — like temperature and moisture — at a 5-kilometer resolution, other surface variables at 10 kilometers, and atmospheric variables, like wind speed, at 25 kilometers. Overall, this provides a global weather picture roughly five times sharper than our previous model, WeatherNext 2, which produced forecasts on a 25-kilometer grid in 6-hour increments. Figure 1: The end-to-end WeatherNext 3 system architecture. The model ingests live 1-hour geostationary satellite mosaics alongside traditional historical analysis to feed a single, flexible Functional Generative Network (FGN) mesh transformer. It outputs dense gridded fields, discrete cyclone tracks, and predicts station-lev…
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Google DeepMind · 官方博客 · Original source ↗ · Site entry ·